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October 22, 2008
Was Joe Biden Talking About Russia in Seattle?

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Democrat Vice Presidential nominee Joe Biden's remarks at a fundraiser in Seattle that an Obama Administration will be tested by an international crisis have drawn criticism from Republicans

Senator Joe Biden, Barack Obama's vice presidential nominee on the Democratic ticket for President, has never shied away from speaking his mind in public. At times this has led to ambiguous remarks, such as Biden's odd statement last year during the Democratic primaries that his future running mate Obama was "the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy". More recently, it has led the Delaware Senator who prides himself on being an intellectual to commit an embarassing gaffe, declaring that President Franklin Roosevelt appeared on television to reassure the American people after the stock market crash of 1929. In reality, FDR wasn't elected until 1932 and television only came online a decade later, in 1939.

On October 19, Biden appeared before 10,000 supporters at a campaign rally in Tacoma, then spoke at a reception for Democratic donors in Seattle in the evening. At this fundraising dinner, Biden warned Democrats and the American people that an Obama Administration would be tested by an international crisis within the first six months of 2009.

"Mark my words: It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. We're about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of America. Watch, we're going to have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy."

Predictably, Obama and Biden's Republican opponent, Senator John McCain, pounced on the Biden remark to suggest that the Democrats were unprepared to face such a crisis and to highlight his own foreign policy experience.

"The next President won't have time to get used to the office," McCain said. "We face many challenges here at home, and many enemies abroad in this dangerous world. If Senator Obama is elected, Senator Biden said, we will have an international crisis to test America's new president. We don't want a president who invites testing from the world at a time when our economy is in crisis and Americans are already fighting in two wars."

Biden's Historic Analogy: Obama, Kennedy, and Russia

While this looks like typical partisan sparring during a fiercely contested presidential election year in America, the historic subtext of Biden's remarks seemed to have escaped much comment. That is, the comparison of Senator Barack Obama of Illinois to another young Senator who was relatively inexperienced upon assuming the presidency, John Fitzgerald Kennedy.

JFK was tested by Soviet Russia, under the regime of the former Ukrainian collective farming boss Nikita Krushchev. Following his notorious shoe banging performance at the United Nations shortly before the U.S. elections in 1960, the steely Soviet premier bullied President Kennedy at a summit in Vienna in 1961. After the botched CIA-backed Bay of Pigs invasion conducted by Cuban exiles in April 1961, Krushchev decided that Kennedy was a weak adversary who could easily be intimidated.

In a reckless move, Krushchev ordered Soviet nuclear missiles to be deployed to Cuba, 90 miles from the U.S. coast of Florida. If the missiles had been launched, they would have reached Washington D.C., only 900 miles away, in less than twenty minutes, leaving the President with no opportunity to evacuate the capital in the event of a nuclear war. The risk of World War III starting by accident or miscalculation reached a crescendo. President Kennedy responded with a naval blockade that searched all ships entering Cuban waters and prepared contigency plans for an all out-U.S. invasion of the island.

The crisis ended after thirteen days, when both sides realized they were on the brink of nuclear destruction and reached a face-saving compromise. In return for the Soviets publically withdrawing their missiles from Cuba, Kennedy secretly agreed to pull American missiles out of Turkey. The next year, President Kennedy was assassinated in Dallas, Texas, a seminal event that began a traumatic decade of political division and cultural upheaval for America. Under Krushchev's replacement Leonid Brezhnev, the Soviet Union dramatically expanded its military support for the North Vietnamese, costing America over 58,000 lives during the its decade-long war in Vietnam. The U.S., in turn, mirrored this Soviet proxy war by arming the Afghan mujahadeen who fought the Red Army in Afghanistan during the 1980s, hastening the collapse of the USSR.

The Cold War History Influencing the Present

Applying this history lesson back to the present, the 47 year old Obama's opponent in this presidential election, the 72 year old Senator John McCain, is a veteran of the Vietnam War, and spent nearly five years in the notorious Hanoi Hilton prisoner of war camp after being shot down in 1968. In spite of McCain working hard during the Nineties to reconcile the U.S. and Vietnam, Soviet Russian support for the North Vietnamese during the war may still influence the Senator's view of Russia today.

McCain is famous for mocking President Bush's 2001 statement that he looked into President Vladimir Putin's eyes and got a sense of the Russian leader's soul by declaring that he had done the same and saw three letters "K-G-B". The KGB line has become a regular part of McCain's foreign policy stump speech on the campaign trail. During the conflict between Russia and Georgia in August 2008, McCain repeatedly condemned Russian actions and called for Ukraine and Georgia to be admitted into NATO as soon as possible.

Obama/Biden Toughened Their Rhetoric Against the Kremlin

In contrast, Obama was initially slower to condemn the Russian military intervention in the Caucases, and his first statement called on both sides to reach an immediate ceasefire. Only after McCain and other Republicans criticized Obama's response as weak did the Senator issue a new statement criticizing the Russian invasion of Georgia. However, Russian pundits watching the American elections could find little comfort in Obama's statements during the presidential debates, in which he declared that he and Senator McCain basically agreed on Russia and that the Kremlin had engaged in "evil actions" in Georgia. Obama also echoed McCain's call for Ukraine and Georgia to be brought into NATO.

What Was Biden Thinking? NATO, Ukraine and Georgia

After being questioned about his remarks at the Seattle fundraising dinner, Biden reportedly offered the Democrat donors in attendance several scenarios that could test an Obama Administration. While the main scenario Biden offered was predictably a confrontation with Pakistan over its support for Taliban insurgents in neighboring Afghanistan, Biden also mentioned a possible clash between the U.S. and Russia. Perhaps Biden had NATO membership for Georgia and Ukraine in mind as the event that would precipitate a crisis.

The Kremlin has made it clear that Moscow considers bringing both former Soviet republics into NATO as a red line that the U.S. and Europe must not cross, and has now backed up this rhetoric with military force in Georgia. Nonetheless, for now, both candidates are promising a renewed push to bring these countries into NATO, even though "Old Europe" countries like Germany, Italy and France that depend on Russia for their oil and gas supplies support a go-slow approach to Ukrainian and Georgian membership. Given Russia's growing financial ties with the EU and the EU's dependence on Russia for energy supplies, this opposition is likely to harden in the months to come.

Gaffe or Real Concern?

Given Biden's propensity for public gaffes, his remarks leave us wondering. If past is prologue, what he said in Seattle may not mean anything. That said, the vice presidential candidate is one of the Senate's foreign policy experts and might have real, if hidden, concerns.


Charles Ganske is the former editor in chief of Russia Blog and works in the financial services industry. The views expressed here are his own.



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8 Comments

Of course its Russia he's talking about he's just following the Zbig Brezinski Grand Chessboard battle plan who is really running US foreign policy against Russia.

Lyndon LaRouche radio program of August 23rd talking about the Georgia conflict and the missile shield points out deliberate misquotes of Russian government officials in the press and an interesting article in the London Economist of March 17th 2007 in the Futurology section of a predicted Russian/Ukraine nuclear standoff in 2010 when Barack Obama is president the EU flexes it’s muscle then Russia makes steps towards joining the EU.

The London Economist part is 23 minutes 15 seconds into the broadcast.
http://asx.ljcentral.net/mp3/eir/tls/2008/tls080823_en_hi.mp3

Right click and select Save Taget As... to download

Biden added that (paraphrasing): 'At first, it may well appear that Obama made a bad decision in handling this orchestrated crisis. We'll need the American people to trust us when this scenario unfolds'.

It appears Biden may have just gone right out and admitted that the Manchurian candidate has already worked out a deal to surrender American sovereignty to the likes of Russia and Venezuela.

@American Government

Biden insinuates that the democrats are going to orchestrate a pretext of war against Russia and he’s surrendering American sovereignty? That makes sense.

American lost its sovereignty long ago when its leaders grovel before AIPAC an organisation charged with spying on the US or its politicians and government officials are dual citizens of another country or its senior international figures who are not US citizens like George Soros can be one of the main contributors to a political party.

Russia’s sovereignty is under attack since the Crimean war. In 1917 Schiff and his New York Marxist revolutionaries overthrew the Czar and installed Communism in Russia. In the 90’s it became an IMF colony propping up the US economy and the dollar at Russia’s expense and initiating a policy of divide and conquer during the mid 90’s to break up Russia so the US and Europe can dominate Central Asian oil and gas supplies.

This is just a big joke! America will NEVER vote for a Black President. I’m just warning you! don’t be surprise when John Mc Cain wins the election. Obama’s white voters will turn against him and will end up voting for McCain. From the point of views of many voters, Obama has sufficient experience for example this guy has won every debate he had with McCain but there’s one BIG problem! His skin colour! This will make people think twice before they vote in November and unfortunately they will base their vote on this and not what he can bring to the country and McCain will end up in the Whitehouse.

@ Eric_K.

If McCain wins, it just goes to prove one thing... how fraudulent the US voting system really is

Because every other country's leader (including here in Australia) that supported the unprovoked attack on Iraq, have lost their elections by a land slide.

A.A

Have you saw the youtube video of the Canada and Australian leader addressing parliament?

They said the exact speech word for word.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8YwJC_nBgw

The mass media here in Britain especially in regards to Russia is so bad its like watching or reading propaganda in fact in most cases it is

@A.A.

If McCain doesn't win, it shows how ignorant people are and that they don't recognize that just because one's bad doesn't mean the other isn't.

And the Iraq War was our thing. We'll take responsibility for it.

@ Eric K., winning debates is not experience. And he didn't win them. They were all washes except one which McCain won. People aren't racist just because they like somebody with an actual proven career over somebody who has barely been in the Senate (less than a term, most of that time campaigning) and has been involved with terrorists, ant-semites, and housing scams.

I resent the fact that you think we're all racist. Just the fact that he was nominated should say that we're not. Where are you from? Where's your black leader, you white supremacist? Huh?

Hmm, very cognitive post.
Is this theme good unough for the Digg?

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Russia Blog presents up-to-date news, facts and commentary on the state of events in Russia and the former Soviet Union. The blog was created and is managed by Yuri Mamchur, Director of Discovery Institute's Real Russia Project, Executive Director of the World Russia Forum, and a Vanderbilt University MBA graduate.


 






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