« Helping Bush's Legacy | Main | Russia Today Interviews CSIS's Andrew Kuchins
On the Upcoming Bush-Putin Summit in Sochi »


March 31, 2008
McCain and Washington’s Doublethink on Russia

By Steve Nelson

McCainWACLosAngeles.jpg
Arizona Senator John McCain has wrapped up the Republican nomination for President

Last week was a typically schizophrenic one for U.S.-Russia relations. On one hand, we saw outgoing Presidents Bush and Putin agree to meet in the Russian resort city of Sochi in order to address their differences over a proposed American missile defense system in Europe. On the other hand, we saw Arizona Senator John McCain, the Republican candidate to succeed President Bush, argue that Russia should be kicked out of the G-8 club of industrialized nations.

In a speech delivered to the World Affairs Council of Los Angeles on March 26, McCain acknowledged both Russia and China as nations “that wield great influence in the international system”. But while McCain made a point to emphasize that the U.S. and the China were “not destined to be adversaries”, the Senator’s stance versus Russia was decidedly more confrontational.

USNavyOfficerBabushkas.jpg
A U.S. Navy officer helps three babushkas celebrate Victory Day in Vladivostok, Russia

“We should start by ensuring that the G-8, the group of eight highly industrialized states, becomes again a club of leading market democracies: it should include Brazil and India but exclude Russia. Rather than tolerate Russia’s nuclear blackmail or cyber attacks, Western nations should make clear that the solidarity of NATO, from the Baltic to the Black Sea, is indivisible and that the organization’s doors remain open to all democracies committed to the defense of freedom,” McCain said. In the same speech, McCain also referred to Russia as a “revanchist” state, implying that the Kremlin has set out to avenge perceived slights the country suffered following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Ironically, during the same week that McCain was calling for a tougher Western line against Russia, Moscow was negotiating with the Atlantic alliance to formalize arrangements for transporting NATO equipment across Russian territory in support of peacekeeping operations in Afghanistan.

Besides this highly publicized example of U.S.-Russia cooperation, as a ranking member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, Senator McCain is undoubtedly aware of other, less public examples of Americans and Russians cooperating in the Greater Middle East. For example, U.S. Air Mobility Command currently leans heavily on huge Russian Antonov transport planes to ferry war material into Iraq and Afghanistan. These aircraft are chartered by private logistics operators across the United States and Europe, but for security reasons their role is not advertised by either Washington or Moscow.

To be fair, Senator McCain is better informed on Russian affairs than his potential Democratic opponents in the general election, Illinois Senator Barack Obama and New York Senator Hillary Clinton. When asked in February to name the next Russian president, Senator Clinton stumbled over her pronunciation of Russian President Dimitry Medvedev's name before finally shrugging, “whatever.” For his part, Obama basically echoed Clinton’s contention that President Medvedev will be merely a puppet of the outgoing Russian President, Vladimir Putin.

What is missing from all of these pronouncements it seems, is any coherent vision for engaging Russia, beyond a longing for the certainties of the past. While Senator McCain has been careful not to suggest that America and Russia are returning to the Cold War, his remarks on the subject have been fundamentally marked by a sense of exasperation with Moscow.

Certainly, Russia today is not what it was during the Nineties. Under President Boris Yeltsin, the Russian economy and currency collapsed in 1998, and Russians could only standby as NATO expanded eastward to their border while their traditional allies, the Serbs, were bombed and then occupied by NATO forces. Ten years ago an ailing President Yeltsin sent Russian representatives to Washington, requesting loan guarantees from the International Monetary Fund. Last October, President Bush sent his Deputy Secretary of Treasury to Moscow, requesting more investment from Russia’s $170 billion Stabilization Fund in the U.S. economy.

Clearly some things have changed, and it today is hard for many Russian to accept that Western criticisms of Russia’s human rights record are sincere and not motivated by this shift in the balance of power. On the other side of the Atlantic, it is difficult for many old hands in Washington to accept that Russia today is neither the malleable basket case of the 1990s, nor an ideological foe like the old Soviet Union. As a result, almost all of the progress that is made in the U.S.-Russia relationship is happening in the private sector.

For example, Russian companies are now engaged with their Western counterparts in developing major oil and gas projects in former pariah states like Libya and Iraq, as well as in Africa. Russian conglomerates have been on a quiet acquisition spree in the U.S., buying up steel mills and aluminum foundries, with American seaport and refining facilities likely not far behind on their shopping list. On the flip side, the Russian government is allocating tens of billions in oil and gas revenues towards building infrastructure across the country, especially in the historically undercapitalized regions outside of Moscow and St. Petersburg. And yet the largest real estate and roadway projects now underway involve firms from Turkey, Dubai and China, rather than America.

While President Bush may not have ever questioned the need for NATO’s continued territorial expansion in the age of global terrorism, nor found a way to integrate the Russians into a global missile defense system, he did promote Russia as a friend rather than foe. Soon it will be time for Bush’s successor to take the U.S-Russia relationship beyond the present cooperation in the Middle East and on energy issues, with the goal of helping (rather than lecturing) the Russian people toward a healthier and more prosperous future.

Kicking Moscow out of the G-8 would do nothing to advance either democracy or free trade in Russia. The fact is that Russia needs American investment and vice versa. While Russia is not likely to ever rival India and China as an economic behemoth on the global stage, it is and will remain a key partner for America in the fields of energy, technology, and security. It would be nice if the rhetoric from our presidential candidates would begin to reflect this reality rather than pandering to the stereotypes of the past.


To read more of the author's views about the Cold War-nostalgia of many Beltway thinkers and think tanks, click here.


Steve Nelson is a former intern at several Washington D.C. think tanks. The author currently works in the U.S. financial services industry. The views expressed here are his own.



TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.discovery.org/scripts/mt/mt-tb.cgi/3798

Comments

Mr. Nelson:

You are incorrect in your criticisms of Mr. McCain and Mr. Bush. There is little if any double-think: it is entirely consistent to be wooing Russia to become a democracy by trying to integrate it economically into the west (which isn’t working—Russia is going in the opposite direction) while being tough by threatening to kick non-democratic states like Russia out of the G-8. Russia is an economically-unstable (what other serious revenue streams are there besides fossil fuels and the international weapons market for Russia?), nationalistically-driven country seeking revenge for the loss of its empire (the “prison house of nations” as Marx termed it). While it is correct and fair for you to point to the joint economic interests you site, this is not a basis by itself for dealing with Russia in a serious way given its strong regression on democratic principles.

I speak with some experience—having lived in Ukraine for the past thirteen years and worked throughout the former Soviet Union during that time. Mr. Bush’s visit to Kyiv today was very important, and in light of all this your overall thesis is lacking. People in Ukraine experience on a day-to-day basis the nastiness of the Russian superiority complex. While Ukraine is currently split with respect to its views of NATO, this split should not be overstated. Even in Donetsk and Luhansk, honest people look to the West—not Russia—for the economic promise of a better life. Your interpretation is primarily expressed through a russo-centric lens. (I wonder, for example, whether you speak—or at least read—Ukrainian or Georgian in order to understand the sentiments in these country, or whether you’ve spent any significant time in Ukraine and Georgia… or in Russia for that matter.)

I will also bring into the discussion, as an example, the russo-centric attitude expressed in a number of posting of this blog. Consider the predictable and patently absurd rhetoric of Yuri Mamchur’s russophilial-interpretation of the colored revolutions in Ukraine and Georgia—which to me, a Harvard-trained Sovietologist, is quite reminiscent of old-style Soviet spin-doctoring or Soviet historiography:

“… the well-financed “revolutions” in Ukraine and Georgia soon restored these die hard Russophobes to their previous default worldview. Rather than seeing these developments for what they actually were—the settling of accounts between rival clans of oligarchs and their political patrons in each country—each “revolution” was magnified into a zero sum struggle for power and influence between Moscow and Washington. Such simplistic attitudes naturally lead to a host of logical absurdities and ideological contradictions, with the only consistency being that Russia’s position must always be wrong.”

If there is anything “simplistic” here it’s Mamchur’s condescending attitude toward Ukraine and Georgia taking on national lives of their own, making REAL democratic progress, and not bowing to Russian pressure. Russia will not have a veto over Ukraine’s and Georgia’s desires to acceded to NATO. Russia will not hold Ukraine and Georgia hostage because they are “mis-behaving.” And Russia WILL fail if it continues to alienate countries of the near abroad with its cold-war rhetoric—if Putin’s threatening to point missiles at Ukraine or Medvedev’s intimations of a “new” cold war are any indication. Counter to what you claim, the Russians indeed deserve to be lectured to when they themselves unabashedly lecture (read: threaten, bully, cajole, sanction, etc.) the “near abroad.”

I urge you to get beyond the myopic vision of Russia as a democratic-friendly partner, and to expand your interpretations of this part of the world beyond the strictures of a russo-centric world view. McCain is speaking the truth about Russia. That it’s painful to hear is another matter.

Senator McCain's idea of inviting Brazil and India into G8 is certainly very adequate and progressive. On the contrary, kicking Russia off is without a doubt, so far the most ridiculous statement in his poorly defined foreign policy. The "come back" of Russia is a fact. There is no denying that democracy has a long way to go, that the country is run by a super rich elite controlled by the Putin-Medvedev alliance, the elections were rigged, etc. However, the new wealth of Russia is an economic reality, which is quickly altering the balance of power in the world. The U.S. should start seeing this reality and learning how to deal with it, instead of allienating the returning super power.

Andrei Leonov
www.FertiKola.com
FertiKola, U.S.-Russia Business Consulting

The assualt on Russia to be more democratic is a shame when they fully support gangsters like Berezovsky or Guisinky or their newly created state Kosovo who we have resently discovered were involved in organ trafficing operations. If Mr "more wars" McCain is so interested in developing Democratic nations then way has he fully supported states like Azerbajin.

Post a comment

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)

Dotted Divider Line

Russia Blog presents up-to-date news, facts and commentary on the state of events in Russia and the former Soviet Union. The blog is managed by Yuri Mamchur, Director of Discovery Institute's Real Russia Project and a composer in his spare time.


 






Send an email to us at:
yuri@discovery.org