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July 2, 2007
Putin and Bush Meet in Kennebunkport

PutinBushSmileTable.jpg
President Putin and President Bush at a previous meeting

Six weeks ago, during an interview with Bloomberg's Moscow bureau, Discovery Institute President Bruce Chapman predicted that the U.S. and Russia would cool down the rhetoric and that Presidents Bush and Putin would meet in the near future. One week later, the White House announced that Bush would host Putin at the Bush family residence in Kennebunkport, Maine. Today Bush and Putin will be discussing American missile defense systems in Europe, as well as the challenge posed by Iran's nuclear program.

For President Bush, this could be the last opportunity to return to the closer relationship the U.S. and Russia enjoyed after 9/11. While others in the President's Republican Party have called for a more confrontational policy towards Moscow, the Bush Administration has patiently worked behind the scenes to persuade Russia to vote for UN sanctions against Iran.

For Putin, this meeting represents America's recognition that Russia is back as a great power on the world stage. The Kremlin is looking for the U.S. to respect its interests, particularly in Russia's near abroad, and for the abolition of the Cold War-legacy Jackson Vanik laws still restricting trade between our two countries.

Click on the extended post to watch President Putin's speech from the Russian CEO Roundtable at the International Economic Forum in St. Petersburg.


Remarks of President Vladimir V. Putin at the 11th Annual International Economic Forum on June 9, 2007

PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN: Good afternoon colleagues, ladies and gentlemen. It is my pleasure to welcome you here to the St Petersburg Economic Forum. It is a great honour for us to play host on this occasion to heads of state and government and top managers from the world’s biggest corporations. As one of the participants and organisers of today’s event put it, those present here today represent, figuratively speaking, ‘more than half the world’s GDP’. I would like to note too that traditionally, the economic and political leaders attending this international forum discuss not only economic issues but also take the opportunity to discuss and formulate positions on vital strategic issues and questions of truly global significance.

The world is changing literally before our very eyes. Countries that seemed hopelessly backward only yesterday are becoming the world’s fastest growing economies today. Fifty years ago, the G7 countries accounted for 60 percent of the world’s GDP, but today this situation has been reversed and 60 percent of the world’s GDP is now produced outside the G7 countries. The developing countries are more and more active in establishing niches for themselves not just in the trade of goods but also of services. New players, including in the high-technology and science-intensive sectors, are bringing greater competition to the market. At the same time, the development imbalances in the global economy and the growing gap between rich and poor countries are having an ever more tangible impact. This is an issue we have discussed on past occasions and one that we just discussed at the G8 summit in Heiligendamm.

It is my conviction that just saying the usual words about fair distribution of resources and investment is not enough. If we want to achieve sustainable development we need to create a new architecture of international economic relations based on trust and mutually beneficial integration. We cannot ignore the importance of healthy competition, but at the same time, we need to move towards forming common and interdependent interests and ties.

We believe that this is the direction in which relations within the Commonwealth of Independent States should develop. The CIS countries are becoming increasingly integrated in global processes and are becoming influential participants in international economic relations. Issues of mutual trust are now coming to the forefront in international economic relations.

In an open economy, most countries depend on international trade and on how stable and sustainable are their exports and imports. Economic partners can feel a sense of security only when they have reliable and predictable relations and when buyers and sellers guarantee fulfilment of their respective commitments. I stress that Russia will work actively to help form an infrastructure of trust in the global and regional economy. In this respect I would like to say a few words about the trends on energy markets.

The energy sector today is witnessing the emergence not only of major new consumers such as China and India, but also of new producers in the Eurasian region, significant players such as Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan. These countries have become independent suppliers of fossil fuels to the world market. At the same time, the policy pursued by traditional consumers is far from unambiguous. We understand their desire to ensure energy independence and to diversify energy sources, but the policies they follow have a direct impact on the interests of supplier countries. As one of the guarantors of energy security in the world, Russia cannot turn a blind eye to these problems, and this is why we support the idea of a strategic dialogue between energy consumers, suppliers, and transit countries. I am sure that all sides would benefit from such a dialogue. The new steps we are taking aim to ensure energy security for the entire Eurasian continent. This is true also of the projects which we are planning and which we are carrying out together our neighbours and partners in this sector – Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Above all, of course, we are talking about the production and supply of fossil fuels – oil and gas. This encompasses the construction of the Northwest Gas Pipeline and Burgas-Alexandropoulis oil pipeline. Given increasing energy demand in the Asia-Pacific region, Russia is also increasing supplies in this direction too.

We will also carry out projects in the transport, telecommunications and logistics sectors. These are projects that will link the countries of Europe and Asia. We plan to modernise existing transport corridors and create new international transport corridors joining Europe to Central Asia and the Far East. We have also announced plans to build a second section of the Volga-Don Canal and give the Caspian Sea countries access to the world’s oceans. I know that my friend and colleague President Nursultan Nazarbayev has his own vision in this area and I am sure that he will speak about it today.

Countries’ investment policy forms another aspect of the interwoven nature of mutual interests. We see how the doctrine of investment freedom is giving way to completely different approaches in the developed countries. Foreign investment, it turns out, is not always seen as beneficial, and sometimes sectors such as infrastructure, telecommunications and energy close their doors to foreign participation.

Russia, on the contrary, seeks to give foreign investors the most favourable conditions possible. We are constantly improving our system of property rights protection, including intellectual property rights. Our economy is open to foreign investment, including in infrastructure and in the electricity sector. Russia’s electricity generation companies have begun offering their shares to the public this year. Foreign investors are carrying out major projects in industry, construction, retail and the banking sector in Russia.

Direct foreign investment in the Russian economy showed a 2.5-fold increase compared with last year. Total accumulated foreign investment in Russia now exceeds $150 billion. As I have said on many occasions now, aside from all our other difficulties, we also faced the problem of capital flight from the Russian Federation.

Last year, for the first time, we had a net capital inflow of $41 billion, and this figure has already passed the $60-billion mark for the first four months of this year and continues to rise. Incidentally, the investment process has finally become a ‘two-way street’ for Russia.

As I said, total accumulated foreign investment in Russia now comes to around $150 billion, but, according to data from international economic organisations, Russian investment abroad has now reached a figure of $138 billion, and our own data puts it at not less than $140 billion. We want to continue to expand Russian investment abroad and we are interested in exchanging assets with international partners under mutually beneficial conditions. This is the road Russian companies are now taking. We have positive experience of such partnerships with our colleagues from Germany and other European countries. Our projects with Italian companies are the latest example in this area.

It is my conviction that Russia could become home to financial centres and the decision-making centres of new global corporations. We passed a law this year completely freeing from taxation dividends received from strategic investment inside the country and abroad. I hope that both Russian and foreign investors will make use of this exemption we are offering. We hope to see just as favourable, understanding and liberal an attitude from our partners. In cases where problems do arise, the balance between national interests and the need for foreign investment should be found exclusively by working together in a spirit of constructive dialogue.

The new architecture of economic relations implies a principally new approach to the work of international organisations. It has become increasingly apparent of late that the existing organisations are not always up to the measure in regulating global international relations and the global market. Organisations originally designed with only a small number of active players in mind sometimes look archaic, undemocratic and unwieldy in today’s conditions. They are far from taking into consideration the balance of force that has emerged in the world today. This means that the old decision-making methods do not always work. The World Trade Organisation and the Doha round of trade negotiations, which are proceeding with great difficulty, to put it mildly, provide a clear example in this respect.

Today, the protectionism the WTO was set up to combat is often implemented by the developed economies that founded the organisation. It is in these economies that we see the greatest concentration of state support for business. It is not coincidence that a parallel system of regional alliances and agreements is taking shape, essentially giving the global market a new structure. And the trade liberalisation process is now taking place more and more through these new agreements. It is worth thinking about creating regional Eurasian free trade institutions in order to encourage trade and investment. These institutions could of course draw on and use the positive experience of the World Trade Organisation.

The international financial organisations are also in need of serious restructuring and modernisation. They were established at a time when the world looked very different and are having difficulty adapting to the new situation of stable economic growth in the majority of developing countries and growing markets. An international financial system based around just one or two currencies and a limited number of financial centres no longer reflects the global economy’s strategic demands. Fluctuations in these currencies’ exchange rates have a negative impact on the financial reserves of entire countries and on the development of different economic sectors around the entire world.

There can be only one answer to this challenge and that is the emergence of several reserve currencies and several financial centres. This is why we need to start work today to create the conditions for diversifying the world financial system’s assets.

Russia will continue carrying out its policy aimed at making its national currency, the rouble, and its financial market and banking system more attractive. The issue of settling payments for goods exports from Russia in roubles will also be a question we will need to look at, but this of course should apply to cases when it would be in both the suppliers’ and the buyers’ advantage.

Ladies and gentlemen, history has convincingly shown on enough occasions that the situation in Russia in many ways determines the situation in the surrounding countries in the Eurasian region. This is a subject we have discussed many times with our colleagues from the Commonwealth of Independent States. Russia’s temporary weakening inevitably led to instability in the region as a whole. Our country lived through a series of dramatic upheavals in the twentieth century, but at the same time it also built up serious potential. Our scientific, education and industrial experience are not just contributing now to development in Russia itself but are also giving a development boost to new states and strengthening new players in the global economy. We are very pleased to see this and are ready to do everything possible to encourage this process. At the forum last year, the concept of what were called ‘idea-countries’ was put forward. Russia is just such a country, a country that seeks to build a fair and just society based above all on moral values, a country that analyses thoroughly the strategic processes in the world and is committed to strengthening trust between peoples and states.

It is our firm conviction that the engine of development in the new millennium is people, their culture, education and abilities. We support the free exchange of ideas, technology and innovation. I repeat that the doors in Russia are open for carrying out the most ambitious joint projects. We hope that through partnership and working together we can make the Eurasian continent truly an area of peace, trust and cooperation.



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Comments

Excellent information.

[President Putin emphasises] that the doors in Russia are open for carrying out the most ambitious joint projects. . . It has become increasingly apparent of late that the existing organisations are not always up to the measure in regulating global international relations and the global market.

Yes, it is astonishing there is no international study sanctioned on what a nation can do in the global economy for "strategic" reasons. And, most importantly, what action can be taken if it defaults.

The IMF or the ECB are of course potential partners for Russia.

Cartoon: Bush and Putin at breakfast table in Maine. Each has "thought" baloons.
Bush: Does he have the polonium?
Putin: Is he going to puke?
Bush: I'm going to puke!
Putin: Good, it is working.

Like I said before, the US will deploy the missile defense system, and it will probably perform like most recent US projects such as Iraq, Katrina, US healthcare, or the US energy fiasco. With that said, you know things are pretty bad when Bush needs to call in Daddy’s help.

What I believe will happen is that the US will deploy such missile defense against referendums across Europe. Russia will apply some simple technology to counter such system, and it will be asymmetrical. For every billion the US blows, Russia will burn a tiny million to counter. Eventually, Russia should treat such simple solutions as if it was just another Linux open source project and release it into the public domain for all to enjoy the countering of the paranoid’s missile defense.

I think Putin knows that Bush will do the illogical because he has so far. The US requires any effort, even if there is a high probability of failure, simply because America has so much to feel guilty about and so much that she intends on circumventing.

This is simple to understand folks. Darwinian market mechanisms have been very successful in small to large businesses. And I for one love market economics. However, these Darwinian methods are now being applied toward defense and financial planning of the future of America. Bush has no clue what he’s doing, and he knows that, but he figures it’s all one big crap game and the US will adjust and optimize later, once the systems are operational, and once a little history is gained, you know, like Iraq. Like a dog sniffing and pissing everywhere, America wants to maintain her options, and this missile defense system is just that, something that will never work, but maybe it will yield something unknown.

And anyway, better to burn down US dollars in these projects now as the US will have so little opportunity once the US economy finally breaks under the weight of debt, lack of energy reserves, tanked dollar, lost manufacturing base, healthcare costs, illegal immigration, over stretches US military, lost credibility, dieing productivity and so forth…

Yup, Bush is just maxing out the credit cards because he knows they will eventually be canceled.

Luther, why do you hate America? :)

Well, Luther, I thought that you said you were going to contain yourself? I am so glad you have not sworn off of irreverence entirely. (It would be so out of character.) Besides, we the people have to contain this nonsense in any way that will work. Speaking of economic darwinism, WHERE ARE WE GOING TO GET THE MONEY FOR THIS BULLSHIT ABM SYSTEM? Hello! (IS any body out there - line from Pink Floyd The Wall). Let's reprogram this country folks. I hope to enjoy at least a few pennies on social security. But have no fear, missile "defense" is more important! Who is running this looney bin?
Lois DuPey
(a homeless person)

Anonymous,

You are confused, I hate failure, I hate corruption, and I hate stupid people. If you use common sense, you would feel the same. Hoping, positive talk, politically palatable English, and smiles will not make America win it’s Iraq failure or make missile defense work.

What really moves me are the positive changes in Russia and Belarus, despite external influence.

What doesn’t impress me is a coward like Lewis "Scooter" Libby getting away with his part in outing a CIA agent with a gift from Bush, another coward.

Too much in America is failing, and too much in the CIS is getting better. I look at it as symbolism of the foundations, and what is yet to come. All politics aside, and all rhetoric aside, the statistics are damning for the US. It’s getting too predictable.

And if you believed in your question, then you wouldn’t hide as "Anonymous". People who question their beliefs and judgment always need anonymity.

Russia's oil boom is an interesting issue. The U.S. is one of many countries that will be interested in the production of oil in the Russian province. Here is a list i found of the companies involved, as well as some other info that i hope you will find useful...

Russian Oil Production

Cheers!

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Russia Blog presents up-to-date news, facts and commentary on the state of events in Russia and the former Soviet Union. The blog is managed by Yuri Mamchur, Director of Discovery Institute's Real Russia Project, a member of MBA class 2011 at Vanderbilt University's Owen Graduate School of Management, and a composer in his spare time.


 






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