A victory for quiet diplomacy between the U.S. and Russia?
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice receives a diplomatic kiss from
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov (Photo by: MosNews)
Yesterday The New York Times reported that Russia is threatening to suspend all work on the Bushehr civilian reactor unless Iran stops enriching uranium. If this is true, then it marks a significant victory for quiet diplomacy between the U.S. and Russia. It may also be true, as the article points out, that Russia is simply tired of Iran failing to pay its bills on time for the Bushehr project.
Iranian atomic energy officials insist that all debts owed to Moscow are being paid on time, and that Russia is just using the alleged non-payment as a pretext to pressure Iran to abandon its domestic enrichment effort. At a press conference with American journalists held last fall at the Valdai Discussion Group outside of Moscow, President Putin declared that Iran "should abandon plans for nuclear enrichment on its soil".
It is true that Russia stands to profit from becoming the sole supplier of civilian-grade nuclear fuel to Iranian reactors. The Islamic Republic, however, has repeatedly rejected all offers from Moscow to manage a completely civilian nuclear fuel cycle on behalf of Iran, suggesting that the regime has other goals in mind besides peacefully generating electricity. Russia has also previously threatened to halt all work at Bushehr if Iran refused to cooperate with international inspectors from the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). This past weekend Iranian officials refused to admit IAEA visitors into a major part of the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has boasted that his country has installed over 2,000 centrifuges to produce highly enriched uranium at the Natanz site. Mr. Ahmadinejad has also repeated the late Ayatollah Khomeini's call for Israel to be "wiped off the map", triggering nervousness from Jerusalem to Riyadh about his apocalyptic statements and beliefs.
Click on the extended post to read the full NYT article.
Russian envoy Igor Ivanov (left) visiting Iran
Russia Gives Iran Ultimatum on Enrichment
By Elaine Sciolino
March 19, 2007
PARIS, Mar. 18 -- Russia has informed Iran that it will withhold nuclear fuel for Iran's nearly completed Bushehr power plant unless Iran suspends its uranium enrichment as demanded by the United Nations Security Council , European, American and Iranian officials said.
The ultimatum was delivered in Moscow last week by Igor Ivanov, Russia's Security Council Secretary, to Ali Hosseini Tash, Iran's deputy chief nuclear negotiator, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because a confidential diplomatic exchange between two governments was involved.
For years, President Bush has been pressing President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia to cut off help to Iran on the nuclear reactor, which is Tehran's first serious effort to produce nuclear energy and has been highly profitable for Russia. But Mr. Putin has resisted.
Recently, however, Moscow and Tehran have been engaged in a public argument about whether Iran has paid its bills, in a dispute that may explain Russia's apparent shift. The ultimatum may also reflect Moscow's increasing displeasure and frustration with Iran over its refusal to stop enriching uranium at its vast facility at Natanz.
"We're not sure what mix of commercial and political motives are at play here," one senior Bush administration official said in Washington. "But clearly the Russians and the Iranians are getting on each other's nerves -- and that's not all bad."
"We consider this a very important decision by the Russians," a senior European official said. "It shows that our disagreements with the Russians about the dangers of Iran's nuclear program are tactical. Fundamentally, the Russians don't want a nuclear Iran."
At a time of growing tensions between Washington and Moscow, American officials are welcoming Russian aid on Iran as a sign that there are still areas in which the two powers can cooperate.
Russia has been deeply reluctant to ratchet up sanctions against Iran in the Security Council, which is expected to vote on a new set of sanctions against the country within the next week.
But American officials have also been trying to create a commercial incentive for Russia to put pressure on Iran. One proposal the Bush administration has endorsed since late 2005 envisions having the Russians enrich Iran's uranium in Russia. That creates the prospect of tens or hundreds of millions of dollars in business for Russia and a way to ensure that Iran receives only uranium enriched for use in power reactors, instead of weapons.
Iran has rejected those proposals, saying it has the right to enrich uranium on its own territory.
The Russian Atomic Energy Agency, known as Rosatom, is eager to become a major player in the global nuclear energy market. As Security Council action against Iran has gained momentum and its isolation increases, involvement with Iran's Bushehr project may detract from Rosatom's reputation.
In a flurry of public comments in the past month, Russian officials have acknowledged that Russia is delaying the delivery of fuel to the reactor in the port city of Bushehr. The officials attributed the delay to the failure of Iran to pay what it owes, not on nuclear proliferation concerns.
But last month, Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov informed some European officials that Russia had made a political decision not to deliver the fuel, adding that Russia would state publicly that the sole reason was financial, European officials said.
Members of the Security Council are moving towards a vote this week on a draft resolution imposing further sanctions on Iran for its defiance of demands that it suspend its enrichment activities and return to negotiations over its nuclear program.
The resolution is aimed at the country's arms exports, a leading Iranian bank and the elite Revolutionary Guards military force. It would reduce Iran's access to foreign currency and isolate the bank, Bank Sepah, from international financing.
The State Department has granted visas to the Iranian president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and a retinue of 38 aides and security staff so that he can address the Security Council meeting.
Throughout the negotiations, the Russians tried to water down the resolution, a reflection of both their desire to avoid a backlash in Iran and their strong skepticism about the effectiveness of sanctions.
The pending resolution follows on a similar one passed last December that required four months of negotiations, in large part because of Russia's resistance. Russia's support came only after an initial proposal to have imposed curbs on Bushehr was dropped.
Russian officials have gone out of their way not to publicly link the Bushehr project and the crisis over Iran's decision to forge ahead with producing more enriched uranium, which, depending on the level of enrichment, can be used to produce electricity or make weapons.
In remarks on Sunday, for example, Mr. Ivanov said there should be no linkage between discussions on Iran's nuclear program and the Bushehr plant. "It is a separate issue," he told a conference of Russia's Foreign and Defense Policies Council. "All the work being done is under strict control of the International Atomic Energy Agency," the United Nations ' nuclear watchdog agency based in Vienna.
He also cautioned against using possible nuclear sanctions for other purposes, saying, "We oppose attempts to use this issue as an instrument of pressure or interference in Iran's internal affairs."
But Mr. Ivanov also called on Iran to resolve outstanding questions with the agency about its nuclear program and to stop enriching uranium. The Russians have been pressing Iran to take some sort of pause in its uranium enrichment that might allow the Security Council process to halt and bring Iran back to negotiations.
"The clock must be stopped: Iran must freeze uranium enrichment," he said. "The U.N. Security Council will then take a break, too, and the parties would gather at the negotiating table."
The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Mohamed ElBaradei , has also called for a "pause," noting that even a brief suspension of enrichment would be enough to get the United States to come to the negotiating table with Iran under an offer that Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice made in May.
The Bushehr nuclear project has a long history. For more than a decade, Russia has been working under a $1 billion contract to complete the ambitious project, which was begun with Germany during the time of Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. After the 1979 Iranian revolution, the project was halted; then the site was bombed by Iraq during its eight-year war with Iran. When Iran decided to complete the facility after the war ended, Germany, under pressure from the United States, refused to finish the project or even provide Moscow with the original blueprints.
The project -- already eight years behind schedule -- is now almost complete. Last year, Russia agreed to ship low-enriched fuel to the plant in southern Iran by March 2007 and open the facility in September, with electricity generation to start by November.
But in mid-February, Russia contended that Iran had not made the two last $25 million monthly payments, after insisting that it be allowed to pay in euros instead of dollars. Russian officials also cited a delay in the delivery of safety equipment from an unspecified third country as a secondary reason for the decision.
Iranian officials denied that payments had been delayed. "Iran has had no delay whatsoever in making payments for the Bushehr nuclear power plant," Mohammad Saeedi, deputy head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, was quoted by Iran's state-run news agency IRNA as saying after the Russian decision.
A senior Iranian official confirmed in an interview last week that Mr. Ivanov had threatened Iran with an ultimatum that the fuel will be delivered only after Iran's enrichment of uranium at Natanz are frozen.
"We would be crazy at this late date to endanger the project by not paying," the official said. "There is no financial problem. The Russians want to use this issue as a bargaining chip."
David E. Sanger and Helene Cooper contributed reporting from Washington.
UPDATE: The Washington Post is reporting that Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has denied that Russia's decision to stop supplying nuclear fuel for the Bushehr reactor is political, insisting that Iran has failed to make payments on time. The Iranian government denies failing to pay its debts, and accuses Russia of caving to political pressure from the U.S. and E.U. Draw your own conclusions.
Russia nixes 'excessive' Iran sanctions
By VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV, Associated Press Writer, March 21, 2007
Russia's foreign minister said Wednesday it will not support "excessive" sanctions against its economic partner Iran, as the U.N. Security Council drew closer to a vote on a new, harsher set of measures intended to push Tehran to freeze its nuclear program.
Ambassadors from the 15 Security Council nations held informal discussions at Britain's U.N. Mission in New York ahead of a meeting later Wednesday to discuss possible changes to the draft resolution.
Germany and the five veto-wielding permanent council nations -- the United States, Russia, China, Britain and France -- agreed on the modest package of new sanctions Thursday to step up pressure on Iran to suspend uranium enrichment, which can be used to produce nuclear energy or nuclear weapons.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Moscow "will not support excessive sanctions against Iran," and added that the draft resolution has been softened at Moscow's behest.
Lavrov also denied claims that Moscow had told Iran it would not deliver nuclear fuel for the Russian-built Bushehr nuclear power plant in southern Iran unless Tehran complies with U.N. demands.
"There is no link whatsoever between the U.N. resolution ... and the implementation of the Bushehr project," he told lawmakers in the lower parliament house.
The proposed new sanctions in the draft resolution would ban Iranian arms exports and freeze the assets of 28 additional individuals and organizations involved in the country's nuclear and missile programs -- about a third linked to Iran's Revolutionary Guard, an elite military corps.
The package also calls for voluntary restrictions on travel by the individuals subject to sanctions, on arms sales to Iran, and on new financial assistance or loans to the Iranian government.
Lavrov said an earlier, tougher version of the draft resolution that included broader restrictions on officials' travel and a ban on credits to Iran had been softened on Russia's advice. "We ... have agreed to influence Iran by gradually applying proportionate pressure," Lavrov said.
At Russia's insistence, neither the existing Security Council resolution nor the draft being discussed makes any mention of Bushehr. Lavrov said the Bushehr contract is in line with all international agreements aimed at preventing nuclear weapons proliferation.
European and U.S. officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the talks said Tuesday that Moscow had bluntly told Tehran it would not ship fuel for Bushehr until Tehran freezes its uranium enrichment program, as demanded by the U.N. Security Council.
Lavrov dismissed the claims as an "unscrupulous trick."
"It's not the first time that we are seeing such an unscrupulous approach aimed at driving a wedge between us and Iran," he said.
Russia has said fuel for Bushehr would not be supplied this month, as had been planned earlier, because of alleged Iranian payment delays that prompted Moscow to indefinitely postpone the Bushehr reactor's launch, which had been set for September. Russian officials also said that the number of workers at Bushehr had dwindled due to the funding shortage.
Iran angrily denied falling behind in payments and accused Russia of caving in to U.S. pressure to take a tougher line on Tehran. Iranian state television on Tuesday described Russia as an "unreliable partner," adding: "It is clear that Russia has stopped construction of this plant under pressure and for political reasons."
On Wednesday, Lavrov repeated Russia's assertions that Iran had dragged its feet on payments for Bushehr.
"Regrettably, our Iranian colleagues aren't telling the truth when they blame Russia for the financial problems which have emerged. Financial problems do exist, but they are linked to the Iranian side breaching an earlier-agreed schedule of payments," he said.